Commitment of Traders Chart: Orange Juice

'A' a short signal

The commercials are at a maximum short position (lowest in three years) and there had been a very high acceleration of shorting in the previous six weeks (80% at the green line at the bottom). A short signal occurred on July 25, 2013, after the previous bullish trend was broken. Holding this short position until the trend ended on October 31, 2013, would have yielded a gain of $3.660 per contract.

'B' a long signal

The commericals are at a high long position of a bit under 80% and the commercials had accelerated their buying to an extremely high level (about 70% in the green line at the bottom). Shortly after the bearish trend ended, there was a short entry signal on June 23, 2014. Holding that position until the bearish trend ended on November 19, 2014 would have yielded a gain of $3,773 per contract.

Orange Juice COT chart
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